Miami Herald | Mimi Whitefield
For $2.5 million, a foreign investor can help create an international equestrian club in the Province of Havana or plunk down $10 million to create a network of eco-lodges across the island with a Cuban partner.
For an estimated investment of more than $15 million, the welcome mat is out for a potential manufacturer of air conditioning equipment in Cuba’s Mariel Special Economic Development Zone, and investors are also invited to negotiate the right to set up a plant capable of producing 10,000 light automobiles a year at the zone.
These are just a few of the 395 joint venture projects, management contracts and other economic partnerships that Cuba is offering foreign investors in the latest edition of its portfolio of opportunities, released early this month.
Under Law 118, Cuba revamped its foreign investment code in 2014, even allowing investors to set up factories with 100 percent foreign capital. Although the law offered tax breaks and other benefits to investors, foreign companies still can’t directly hire Cuban workers and must go through a government agency for their labor needs.
But as Cuba courts foreign investors from around the globe, U.S. businesses may be getting further behind in their tentative efforts to make inroads in Cuba. President-elect Donald Trump has said he may reverse Obama administration rules that allowed a rapprochement with Cuba unless the island’s leaders respect human rights and release political prisoners. And that throws even more uncertainty into the equation.
Meanwhile, the Cuban government is forging ahead with efforts to attract foreign capital. In addition to the Mariel zone and tourism, the new investment portfolio also includes projects in the agriculture, sugar, energy, mining, transportation, biotech/pharmaceutical, health, construction, business services, telecommunications, banking and finance and industrial sectors.
Here are a few more examples of what Cuba wants:
▪ Foreign capital for a clean, energy-efficient soybean processing plant and soy oil refinery. It would require an investment estimated at $149 million.
▪ Hundreds of millions of dollars to set up various biotech factories.
▪ A joint venture partner for Cuba’s CIMEX to build and operate a wholesale operation for food and industrial products. Cuba’s private business sector has long complained about the difficulty of finding products for their businesses at wholesale prices.
“There is now a new set of priorities for foreign investment. Foreign companies know what Cuban companies are looking for, so there can be a match,” said Carlos Gutierrez, secretary of commerce in the George W. Bush administration and now chairman of the Albright Stonebridge Group, a commercial diplomacy and strategic advisory firm.
All the projects in the Cuban portfolio have been thoroughly studied and are ready to go as soon as suitable foreign partners and capital are found, said Rodrigo Malmierca, Cuba’s minister of foreign trade and investment.
Until the 1990s, when the collapse of Cuba’s benefactor, the former Soviet Union, sent its economy into crisis, forcing it to make its first overtures to foreign investors, Cuba wasn’t really interesting in reaching out to the world for investment. But Malmierca emphasized that Cuba’s increased interest in foreign investment now “isn’t a necessary evil.” Instead, he said, it’s a cornerstone of Cuba’s current development strategy.
In addition to financing projects that will create jobs and help Cuba realize its goals of broadening export markets and replacing imports, Cuba also wants foreign investment to increase its access to state-of-the-art technologies and management practices.
“The idea is to make Cuba a producer of products that were imported for domestic use and eventually a net exporter,” said Saul Cimbler, a Coral Gables businessman who is working on joint venture deals with Cuba for himself and clients. “The whole idea is to make Cuba self-sufficient.”
Helping raise Cuba’s profile as a foreign investment target: The renegotiation of $2.6 billion in debt to the 14 wealthy nations that comprise the Paris Club and making the first installment on that renegotiated debt ahead of schedule in October.
Some of the larger Paris Club creditors, including Japan, Spain, France,and Italy, also have worked out bilateral deals so that some debt payments are deposited in Cuban accounts for use in joint development projects on the island.
So far, Cuba has received the heftiest dose of foreign capital in the tourism industry, which is poised to receive an estimated 3.8 million foreign visitors this year. However, Cuba’s aspirations for foreign investment still far outstrip reality.
Cuba estimates that to reach a goal of 7 percent economic growth annually, it will need foreign investment of around $2.5 billion each year. Since Law 118 went into effect in early 2014, Cuba has attracted $1.3 billion in investments, said Malmierca.
But earlier this month Cuban media reported that two big foreign investment projects had broken ground at the Mariel zone: a joint venture of Unilever and Cuba’s Intersuchel to build a $35 million factory that will turn out shampoo, deodorant, Lux soap, Omo detergent and Close-Up toothpaste and also BrasCuba Cigarillos, a Cuban and Brazilian joint venture that will make Popular, Cohiba and H. Upmann cigarettes in a $100 million state-of-the-art factory.
Last summer, two French companies — Bouygues Batiment International and Aeroports de Paris — also were granted concessions to manage and renovate Havana’s José Martí International Airport and the aerodrome of San Antonio de los Baños, in Artemisa. Details of the contract are still being worked out.
The U.S. opening toward Cuba that began in December 2014 also seems to have spurred other nations around the world to take a second look at Cuba in the belief that the next step would be the lifting the U.S. embargo, increasing competition for prime Cuban investment opportunities.
“Other countries became more interested when they thought U.S. companies would get in, and they have continued their interest,” said Gutierrez, who accompanied a group of 30 or so executives and members of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce to the Havana International Fair in early November. About two dozen U.S. companies had booths at the fair.
But their presence was far outweighed by other nations such as Spain, with more than 150 booths promoting everything from olives and decorative tiles to industrial products that sprawled over five pavilions, and Italy with 93 registered exhibitors, and Germany with 65.
No deals were announced for U.S. businesses during the fair, Gutierrez said, but there were a lot of “behind-the-scenes” conversations.
New U.S. regulations carved out by the Obama administration as exceptions to the embargo allow more — but still limited — trade with Cuba, and permit American companies to invest in the Cuban telecom industry. U.S. firms also are allowed to offer their services in infrastructure projects that benefit the Cuban people, sign hotel management agreements and engage in negotiations for contracts and pacts contingent on getting future approval from Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control or the lifting of the embargo.
U.S. companies have signed deals under these exceptions to the embargo, Gutierrez said, but he added that “the process has stalled.”
Cuba has intensified its call for the U.S. Congress to lift the embargo, because despite the opening, the changes made by President Barack Obama are just executive orders and rules that can be unraveled by a new administration. That poses business risks for both Cuba and U.S. companies.
American firms’ competitive stance also has been hampered by the debt-related trade and investment concessions that other countries have been able to negotiate and a U.S. prohibition on financing nearly all exports headed to Cuba.
Analysts say Cuban officials also may have thought they had the luxury of time in considering potential deals with U.S. businesses.
“I suspect the Cubans — and others — anticipated a Clinton administration and a continuation of President Obama’s policies. In their mind, the time frame was four more years,” said Augusto Maxwell, a lawyer with the Miami-based Akerman firm. He works with clients interested in entering the Cuban market.
Now with Trump saying on the campaign trail that he would reverse Obama administration executive orders that allowed the rapprochement with Cuba, the few American deals that did go forward may be threatened.
“We’ll be at a serious disadvantage if Obama policies [on Cuba] are reversed and if sanctions on Cuba aren’t eventually lifted,” Gutierrez said.
But Cuba seems to be hoping normalization will continue under Trump. “I have talked with Cuban officials recently and they said they have an open mind to the new administration and plan to continue the policy of engaging U.S. businesses until further notice,” said Maxwell.